Who will be the new Aston Villa manager? That is a key question for Premier League watchers as a 6th placing (which the Villains have called their own for 3 seasons) is up for grabs. There are no shortage of takers eager to qualify for Europe – Everton, Blackburn, Liverpool, Birmingham, etc. should Aston Villa languish in mediocrity.
Since the abrupt departure of Martin O’Neill 5 days before the 2010 Premier League started, Aston Villa has been in a tentative state of transition. Caretaker manager Kevin MacDonald was handed the reins and hopes were high after a display of scintillating, fluent football in the 3-0 win against West Ham.
However, the wave of support was tempered by mediocre football in the 1-1 draw at Vienna and almost extinguished in the aftermath of a humiliating 6-0 thrashing by Newcastle United.
Actually, this is not the first time Aston Villa had their hide skinned. They capitulated to Liverpool 5-0 and Chelsea 6-0 last season but the defeats were palatable given the quality of the opponents. Against Newcastle United, a team just promoted from the Championships and which had earlier lost 3-0 to Manchester United, it is a disgrace.
To be sure, Newcastle’s cavalier attitude can be overwhelming when you underestimate and foolishly play into their strength. But for all their attacking prowess, it is accompanied often by a porous defense. Yet Aston Villa could not make much inroads on goal after an early penalty miss.
This abject performance has left Aston Villa fans pondering over the appointment of Kevin MacDonald as manager on a permanent basis. More disappointment was heaped on the Villains when they crashed out of Europe after losing 2-3 to Rapid Vienna (agg 3-4) in the second leg qualifier in mid-week.
Aston Villa started well, took the lead twice through Gabriel Agbonlahor and Emile Heskey, and had a penalty miss by captain Stiliyan Petrov. For a while, you thought Aston Villa had banished the nightmare of Newcastle’s 6-0 drubbing as they controlled the game but conceding silly goals saw their efforts came to nought.
The only consolation is that Martin O’Neill was also undone by the same opponent in the qualifying stages last year. They had a crucial penalty saved too and their defense was breached after 16 seconds at Vienna.
For the time being, MacDonald continues to take charge of first team affairs until the international break which means one more crucial game (Premier League clash with Everton) to decide his fate.
Kevin MacDonald vs Martin O’Neill
Against Newcastle United, Kevin MacDonald had admitted to getting the lineup wrong, saying: “Newcastle are a decent side with a lot of experience and took their chances well. Maybe I was a bit naive in my selection. I played two youngsters again and maybe two games in a week was too much for them.”
Naive selections aside, the fact that his charges continue their wayward manners after half time and his ineffective substitutions indicate that his dressing room prep talk and tactical nous require further refinement if he wants to be on par with his predecessor Martin O’Neill.
When Martin O’ Neill took over from David O’Leary, he succeeded in moving Aston Villa up the Premier League table from 15th position to 11th and then 6th spot for the next 3 seasons which ensured the club’s participation in European competition.
Though major titles still elude the club, O’Neill’s consistency is a remarkable legacy of his four year tenure, considering the competitive nature of the Premier League. Indeed, Kevin MacDonald has big shoes to fill but he can seek solace from some Aston Villa fans who viewed consistency as stagnation. You can’t please all the people all the time but are these fans being negative?
When you bring ROI (return on investment) into the picture, O’Neill achievements may have to be taken down a peg or two as he spent more than £83m in the transfer market over 4 seasons.
Of course, one can always point to football clubs with more generous transfer budgets which ended up as flops (Newcastle, Sunderland, Middlesbrough) or have yet to yield any trophies. For the record, Roberto Mancini busted £130m in this summer transfer window alone and it is unclear how much the new recruits can contribute to his campaign.
However, owner Randy Lerner is not a sugar daddy in the league of Roman Abramovich or the Middle East Sheikhs, so it is fairer to compare Aston Villa’s success to tightly run and well-managed clubs like Arsenal, Everton and Blackburn.
Some of Martin O’Neill’s purchases, namely Ashley Young, James Milner, Brad Friedel, and Carlos Cueller were justified but others bombed badly. Nicky Shorey, Marlon Harewood and Steve Sidwell were a waste of money.
On the other hand, David Moyes bought excellent players like Arteta, Yakubu, Saha, Cahill and Fellaini either on free transfers or relatively inexpensive prices after taking into account his disciplined sell-to-buy policy. Overall, David Moyes’s outlay net of transfers in the last 4 years was less than than Martin O’Neill, but Everton finished ahead of Aston Villa in 3 of those 4 years.
Clearly David Moyes did a better job at keeping his club’s finances healthy. Speaking of which, Arsene Wenger come up tops among the trio for maintaining Arsenal in top four by not splashing on big-name players and rely solely on polishing raw talents.
If the money has been better spent, either on a quality play-maker who can dictate the game against the top teams, or sturdy reinforcements to support the final stretch where the first XI tend to tire, O’Neill will have secured Champions League qualification for Aston Villa already.
The Villains did come close enough; for the last 2 seasons, the team had a strong advantage only to crumble near the finish line as tiredness and injuries took their toil. The collapse stood in stark contrast to Everton’s superb comeback from a woeful start and the latter nearly finished ahead yet again.
Martin O’Neill was helpless in preventing the team’s loss of momentum. Young, Milner and Agbonlahor scored only 16 goals in 14 games. Aston Villa couldn’t capitalize on its home ground advantage and instead showed better form in away matches by counterattacking with gusto.
Aston Villa’s thin squad has proven to be a handicap as the club pursues glory on multiple fronts. Last season, Villa did well in both the domestic cups and the strain becomes even more telling. Rotating a small and tired squad is difficult. Some players have to cope with more games while others are fielded out of position.
To fulfill the fans’ aspirations, I believe Martin O’Neill may have requested for another huge transfer budget this summer but Randy Lerner is not inclined to pump in more money.
It is clear that Martin O’Neill’s position became untenable with Lerner’s insistence on a sell-to buy policy and possible wage cut. Nearly 85% of Villa’s turnover are wages, that is rather high for a football club. Villa director General Charles Krulak had criticized O’Neill for not complying to the club’s need to reduce its wage bill and acting like he is “bigger than the club.”
There is nothing wrong with Randy Lerner’s desire for a sustainable business model. Europe has not emerged from the sovereign debts crisis and football clubs are not immune to austerity measures. It will be financial suicide for owners to drag football clubs further into debts.
However, there is something to be said about Aston Villa’s sell-to-buy policy. Instead of selling players surplus to requirements, it often targets the jewels in the crown, and with the recouped money, they buy other players and increase their hit and miss ratio.
Last season, Aston Villa sold former captain Gareth Barry and now James Milner (2010 Player of the Year) to Manchester City. In return for the highly prized Milner, Aston Villa received £26m which includes the £8m rated Stephen Ireland.
From a business perspective, it makes sense as the Villians more than doubled their investment from two years ago when they signed Milner from Newcastle United for £12m. But it could be shortsighted to see Aston Villa’s competitive edge eroded.
As a parting gift, Milner turned in a magnificent performance and scored the third goal against West Ham United. It is sad that a player who is leaving is more committed than some of his mates. The slackers will do well to pull up their socks soon…
Can Aston Villa recover from the loss of its two star players? When James Milner was brought in to fill the gap left by Gareth Barry, he proved his worth admirably. But is Stephen Ireland a good replacement? Well, I can only say a power shift happened when Manchester City bought over both players while dumping Richard Dunne and Stephen Ireland onto Aston Villa.
That is not to condemn Stephen Ireland as a terrible player. He is hardworking, eager to improve and has been solid, especially last season. But it is clear James Milner was a more important player for Aston Villa than Stephen Ireland was to Manchester City. Stephen Ireland almost went to Sunderland in 2008 and costing only 8million, I doubt Manchester City are suckers to do such a deal.
Is Kevin MacDonald the Right Choice?
Looking at the achievements and shortfalls of Martin O’Neill, Kevin MacDonald actually stand a good chance of getting the job. If Aston Villa want to tighten their belts and go the youth development route, MacDonald is the right man.
Having spent 15 years at Aston Villa as reserve team manager, MacDonald is no stranger to the terrain, staff and players. He is instrumental in developing the youngsters who broke into the first-team and is regarded as an excellent coach.
MacDonald may also enjoy the implicit backing of chairman Randy Lerner who has yet to contact any candidates pending the team’s performances and an interview where he is expected to express his footballing philosophy and desire to shoulder the responsibility.
While footballing results may not have gone his way, Kevin MacDonald have won admirers for trying his best in his unassuming manner and keeping his feet on the ground. Knowing the fickle nature of football fans, he is wary of their praises which could turn on a dime when the chips are down.
His lack of ego is also endearing. MacDonald prefers being the “invisible” man, just getting out on the pitch to coach while his players take the credit. However, the scrutiny on non-football aspects and pressure in the Premier League may just see him giving up the role.
I believe Kevin MacDonald, if he is up for the challenge, should be given more time in the Premier League (at least a full season) rather than just two matches. As he possesses an intimate knowledge of the youngsters, he may be able to strengthen the team without costly transfers by promoting players from the reserve squad into the senior team.
It is worth noting that Aston Villa had won the The Premier Reserve League South for the third year in a row. Villa has an impressive youth development program and there some serious talents eager and ready to cut their teeth in the Premier League. These lads are also winners for clinching the Reserve title consistently.
Martin O’Neill’s presence may inhibit their progress but with Kevin MacDonald in charge, we will see these youngsters sooner than later. There is also a good chance of him implementing Lerner’s sell-to-buy policy effectively by casting off players past their prime.
But of course, when you are talking about youth and trying to save money, the fans have to be patient and tolerant of failures. They must be realistic in their expectations that Kevin MacDonald cannot outperform Martin O’Neill in his first season and may even flirt with relegation.
Youth promises enthusiasm and pace, but also comes with it, unpredictability and inexperience. Will we see more 6-0 drubbings for MacDonald’s youth team? Yes, but this baptism of fire is necessary for the youngsters to gain experience and develop their skills. Alex Ferguson showed faith in his youth team comprising of Paul Scholes, Ryan Giggs and David Beckham and was richly rewarded.
Current Squad and Youth Development
Kevin MacDonald’s main role will be to usher in an era of young, promising players into the first XI. It is a gamble but the alternative of having Martin O’Neill overpay for players of Premier League quality while those who can set the Champions League alight just wouldn’t come, is not attractive either.
Ashley Young and Gabriel Agbonlahor are the future of Aston Villa’s strike force. The latter’s pace, poaching instincts and good rapport with Young will yield the goals to keep Villa afloat. But injury is a concern as Agbonlahor missed most of pre-season with back and hamstring problems, and he may not last the entire season.
Having another experienced striker will ease those days when goals are in short supply. Unfortunately, John Carew is not the same player he was in Spain. He is still lethal with his header but his speed has slowed considerably and is injury prone. Worse still, now his penalty taking is suspect.
As for Emile Heskey, he has struggled to provide a real goal threat for many years. Moving out the deadweight will be good news for James Collins, Andreas Weimann and Nathan Delfouneso who were top scorers in the reserve league. It is unlikely though that Villa will see any 30-goals a season type of striker just yet.
In midfield, Aston Villa are also bustling with exciting young players. Marc Albrighton’s gave an impressive show against West Ham, where he set up two goals, and was instrumental in the other. He dares to run at fullbacks and deliver telling crosses. His rise to prominence on the wings has allowed Ashley Young to switch inside and the freedom to roam. Barry Bannan is another promising attacking midfielder who had the composure to score an away goal in the 1-1 draw at Rapid Vienna.
The midfield can improve further in terms of creating chances and not giving the opponent too much space as in the Newcastle match. More sophisticated teams will have tore the youngsters apart and handed them a double-digit whipping. It remains to be seen if Stephen Ireland can provide the creative link which Aston Villa crave.
Without a doubt, Aston Villa’s weakest link lie in their defense. Martin O’Neill wrestled with the problem and failed, leading to some embarrassing results. We have to accept that Richard Dunne is not John Terry (even after the sex scandal) and true to form, he committed several typical mistakes which led to Newcastle’s goals. Dunne may still be useful in the box but inadequate when tracking back.
Habib Beye, one of the more experienced defenders, was criminal in allowing Rapid Vienna to score two elementary goals. Curtis Davies is decent for a back-up but his wages is on the high side considering his contributions last season were limited by a shoulder injury. He could be a good candidate for wage adjustment or simply being sold. American defender Eric Lichaj is still too raw to meet the challenges of top flight football.
Kevin MacDonald will take a while to experiment with his defensive setup before hitting the jackpot, if ever. It can be difficult for youngsters to make their debuts when the defense is so shaky. In just two matches alone, we have seen too many defensive errors. If there is money available for spending, getting solid defensive cover should be MacDonald’s top priority.
Improving the Training Sessions
If Kevin MacDonald wants to go one up over Martin O’Neill, training is a good area to focus on. It is shocking to know that your opponent has you all figured out. John Terry revealed last season that Chelsea knew Aston Villa would tire in the last 30 mins and they were waiting for that. This is inexcusable for modern footballers.
The players are in a professional league and are expected to last 90 minutes, not to mention keeping their focus till the final whistle. Why are Aston Villa players so tired and lacking in stamina? Just imagine what will happen if they had a good run in Europa League, besides challenging for the Premier League and domestic cups.
It is no coincidence that Frank Lampard, Cristiano Ronaldo, Lionel Messi, and Wayne Rooney can feature in almost every game without tiring. Improving the training sessions is critical in improving the players’ fitness and preventing serious injuries.
Victory Against Everton Is Possible
A silver lining for Kevin MacDonald is that their visitors this weekend, Everton, have also made a poor start to the season. David Moyes is desperate to get his first win of the season under his belt.
The Toffees were beaten by Blackburn Rovers on the opening day and surprisingly held to a 1-1 draw with Wolves last weekend. There is no cause for alarm yet as Everton are slow starters and usually come back strongly in the second half of the competition.
Kevin MacDonald has a good chance to win as Everton’s record at Villa Park does not breed confidence. They have managed just one win at Villa in the Premier League, though they could have added another one if not for a late Phil Jagielka own goal last season. David Moyes will be hoping for better luck this time but I doubt they will be drowning in sorrow if they lost.
We may even see an entertaining goalfest based on previous encounters and if Aston Villa go all out (since their defense is in a shambles anyway), this trend should continue.
Assuming Kevin MacDonald is really down on his luck and Everton won, I believe he is the best candidate to lead Aston Villa. Deciding on MacDonald’s career based on the few disappointing results is unfair when he is trying to do something different and meaningful for the future of the club.
Any successful manager will have their humble and rough beginnings. O’Neill built the foundations of his coaching in non-league football before managing at the highest level. The same goes for Alex Ferguson or Arsene Wenger too.
Should Kevin MacDonald decide front-line management is not for him, one solution would be to bring in a figurehead to work alongside him, allowing him to concentrate on coaching while his partner deals with the media, player recruitment and negotiating contracts.
If that doesn’t pan out, Aston Villa have to start interviewing candidates for the managerial role. United States manager Bob Bradley faces competition from the likes of Gareth Southgate, Sven-Goran Eriksson and Martin Jol, though the American is the only one who has voiced out his desire to take over at Aston Villa.
Bradley has impressed in his time in charge of the USA, leading the team into the last 16 of this summer’s World Cup which included a 1-1 draw with England.
He has an advantage in that Aston Villa has an American owner (Randy Lerner) as well as several American players (Brad Friedel, Brad Guzan and Eric Lichaj). So anti-American hostility is unlikely to rear its ugly head, like in Old Trafford and Anfield. However, Bradley is considered a risky option having never managed outside of his home country.
It will be an interesting two weeks to see who Randy Lerner will appoint for Aston Villa. Stay tuned…













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